That Governor Ibikunle Amosun of Ogun State and his Oyo State counterpart, Abiola Ajimobi are governors under the platform of All Progressives Congress (APC) is not news.
What is interesting about both is the similarity in their present political situation. The duo had been senators before becoming governors of their respective states, until they defected to the defunct ACN now APC. Both had been member s of defunct of All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) and were not the original candidates of choice of the party that brought them to power, products of the pressure mounted on then state ACN leadership by the ‘powers that be’ in the party, which saw other aspirants stepping down for them to emerge gubernatorial candidates and later governors.
Also, both governors do not enjoy a smooth relationship with the supposed leaders of the party in their state: Olusegun Osoba in Ogun and Micheal Koleoso in Oyo.
As if that was not enough, the two governors have lost their senators to other parties: Governor Ajimobi lost Senator Olufemi Lanlehin and Senator Ayo Adeseun to Accord Party and Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) respectively while governor Amosun lost Senators Adegbenga Kaka, Gbenga Obadara and Akin Odunsi as well as a number of House of Representatives legislators and state lawmakers to the Social Democratic Party (SDP). The deputy governor, Segun Adesegun is perceived to be with the governor ‘only in body, but not in spirit’ as he declared his intention to run for governor under SDP. Governor Ajimobi cannot also claim to have a good relationship with his deputy, Chief Moses Adeyemo Alake, though the governor’s men would argue this point with all the strength in their body, yet it is true.
Some other political appointees loyal to Chief Osoba have also resigned from Governor Amosun’s government just as some former political appointees in Ajimobi’s cabinet have also left to the Labour Party.
Therefore, with this avalanche of opposition, the two governors have a herculean task before them in their bid to win a second term in office in the 2015 election.
Yes, both are seen to have performed well in office, (though this is controversial too), but at least going by public opinion, they have something to show, but as my people say, “Ohun to wa leyin efa, o ju eje lo” meaning, “in this clime, the matter goes beyond performance” as evidenced by what happened to former governor Kayode Fayemi in the last election in Ekiti, did he not perform? “E jo, e ko ila kuro l’eko, eko o ko ila,” when it comes to election in some states, performance may not be a yardstick for getting re-elected (though that’s a tragedy of our circumstance anyway).
Back to the two governors, only one thing can give them a second term in office; a massive vote from the people who share the view that they performed well in their first term.
Only that could help them overcome the ‘’Rocks of Gibraltar’’ that is, former political associates-turned foes who now threaten to consume them in 2015.
Anything short of this mass action, these two governors who share so much similarity in their circumstance like Siamese Twins may also suffer the same fate; get a second term or be humiliated by a crushing defeat in next year’s election.
Which of the foregoing is most likely to happen? I leave the answer to you.